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2024-12-13 11:44:18
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For today's disk, although American technology stocks have skyrocketed, Lao Liu would like to remind that once A shares follow the mapping to speculate on technology stocks, careful consumption and robot direction will be diverted. Therefore, chasing up is not safe, and short-term follow-up with hot money can be done!There are great internal differences among consumption, AI and robots in the short term, and the funds are switched internally, which can only remind everyone not to chase after the rise. Follow the funds to make a low board and lower expectations, fast-forward and fast-out. After all, when the tide really ebbs, the comparison is who runs fast.When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.


After all, the board must be broken or down in the end, and the game is just a personal understanding of funds, emotions and news. It has nothing to do with fundamentals and logic. What is vividly interpreted here is eat small fish, a big fish. When a small fish eats shrimp, the shrimp can only eat dirt.In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!


Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed. Except for the slight decline of the Dow, the large-scale technology stocks in the United States basically rose sharply. However, the Chinese stock index bottomed out and fell by 0.94%, and the A50 index fell by 0.01%, and the external sentiment was neutral.Yesterday, the shrinkage of A shares was weak, and the differences between large and small-cap stocks continued to expand. Even in the end, the CSI 1000ETF was still heavy. Recently, hot money and quantification have obviously controlled the market initiative, while machine ticket purchase has been obviously marginalized. So how will A shares go today?Technically, as I have repeatedly suggested in the article, Tuesday's false negative line is a small high point. Before there is no counter-package to recover lost ground, the market estimates that Xiaoyang Xiaoyin has a high probability of continuing to shake and consolidate, so don't expect a big rise or a big fall, lower expectations, and try the market.

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